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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Timbergrove Manor Section 13 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201520100 · Harris, TX · pop 2,719 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

48201520100 is a census tract in the Timbergrove Manor Section 13 area of Houston, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,719 residents. Cost burden runs 34% here against 49.5% across Harris County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 32% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$143,646

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Timbergrove Manor Section 13
Very Low
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#754 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#967 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7923, -95.4604 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timbergrove Manor Section 13 scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,883 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Timbergrove Manor Section 13 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timbergrove Manor Section 13 risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5201003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 53Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak (2009)
  • 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201520100
Filings dropped 75% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 376Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 13.93×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Timbergrove Manor Section 13. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 13

At $1,883 a month, rents run 38% over what the rest of Houston commands. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 23.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Court records carry 53 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2009 at 2.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $143,646, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201520100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201520100?

Census tract 48201520100 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 13 neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201520100?

Median gross rent is $1,883/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201520100?

5.7% of residents in tract 48201520100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,719.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201520100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 5th, minority 72th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 48201520100 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 13?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201520100 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 13 (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201520100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201520100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.90% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201520100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 13.93× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201520100 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201520100 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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