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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Timbergrove Manor Section 13 Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201530102 · Harris, TX · pop 3,029 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 48201530102 sits in the Timbergrove Manor Section 13 area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 3,029 residents. 31% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Harris County average of 49.5%.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 60% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,067
Renter share86.9%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$67,860

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Timbergrove Manor Section 13
Elevated
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#399 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#461 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#2,131 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8110, -95.4546 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timbergrove Manor Section 13 scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Timbergrove Manor Section 13 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timbergrove Manor Section 13 risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 5301023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 299Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.61×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Timbergrove Manor Section 13. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 13

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,197 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Houston commands.

Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201530102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201530102?

Census tract 48201530102 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 13 neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201530102?

Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201530102?

19.5% of residents in tract 48201530102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,029.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201530102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 41th, minority 86th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 48201530102 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 13?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201530102 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 13 (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201530102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201530102 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201530102 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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