Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Timbergrove Manor Section 13 Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201530102 · Harris, TX · pop 3,029 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 48201530102 covers Timbergrove Manor Section 13 in Houston, home to 3,029 residents. For landlords it grades 4.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,197 a month against an average household income of $67,860 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 87% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 60%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,067
Renter share86.9%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$67,860
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8110, -95.4546 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timbergrove Manor Section 13 scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Timbergrove Manor Section 13 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 299Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Timbergrove Manor Section 13. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 13
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.61x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201530102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201530102?
Census tract 48201530102 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 13 neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201530102?
Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201530102?
19.5% of residents in tract 48201530102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,029.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201530102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 41th, minority 86th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 48201530102 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 13?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201530102 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 13 (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201530102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201530102 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201530102 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 48201530102
Parent city ↑
Houston
2.8 / 10
Parent county ↑
Harris
Parent state ↑
Texas
Sibling tract →
Timbergrove Manor Section 13
5.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Timbergrove Manor Section 13
4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Timbergrove Manor Section 13
2.8 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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