Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

College Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , McAllen

Tract 48215020513 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 3,241 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 48215020513 in the College Heights area of McAllen, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,241 residents. The severe-burden share is 64%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 10% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units933
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate48.5%
Median income$19,301

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In College Heights
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 53 tracts In McAllen
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across McAllen and the region

Centroid at 26.1797, -98.2581 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Heights scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McAllen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
48.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from McAllen
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McAllen
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from McAllen
3.0

How College Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
College Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0205133.4McAllenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within College Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Heights

Cost burden runs 76% here against 42.3% across Hidalgo County. Set annual rent against average income of $19,301 and the ratio lands at 77%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 50.3% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 48%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Disability prevalence runs 53.7% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 24.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $1,236, 18% above the McAllen average.

It sits 0.9 points above the Hidalgo County average of 3.9. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020513

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020513?

Census tract 48215020513 in the College Heights neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215020513?

Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020513?

48.5% of residents in tract 48215020513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,241.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020513?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 100th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 48215020513 considered part of College Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020513 fall within College Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48215020513 compare to McAllen overall?

Tract 48215020513 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of McAllen at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McAllen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McAllen

Top eight tracts in McAllen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related