Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

San Juan Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 48215021804 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 3,815

San Juan in Hidalgo County anchors census tract 48215021804, which lands at 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $730 a month while the average household earns $41,923 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 16% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,330

Renter share27.9%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate22.9%

Median income$41,923

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Juan and the region

Centroid at 26.1936, -98.1538 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Juan scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Juan

5.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

22.9% poverty · this tract

5.7

Supply constraint

$730 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Juan

7.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Juan

4.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Juan

8.2

How San Juan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Juan

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Juan, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hidalgo County average of 4.9 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215021804

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215021804?

Census tract 48215021804 in San Juan scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48215021804?

Median gross rent is $730/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215021804?

22.9% of residents in tract 48215021804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,815.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215021804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 98th, minority 97th, housing 85th.

How does tract 48215021804 compare to San Juan overall?

Tract 48215021804 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of San Juan at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Juan

Top eight tracts in San Juan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.