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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Beaumont

Tract 48245011700 · Jefferson, TX · pop 1,527 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Old Town in Beaumont anchors census tract 48245011700, which lands at 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 41% of US census tracts.

About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $874 a month against an average household income of $50,465 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 41% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units632
Renter share62.7%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate27.6%
Median income$50,465

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Old Town
Elevated
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 34 tracts In Beaumont
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 76 tracts In Jefferson
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,216 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Beaumont and the region

Centroid at 30.0856, -94.1031 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Beaumont
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.6% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$874 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Beaumont
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Beaumont
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Beaumont
3.0

How Old Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 011700Beaumont: 2.92.9Beaumontparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Beaumont eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Jefferson County average of 5.4 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Part of this tract, about 17% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48245011700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48245011700?

Census tract 48245011700 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48245011700?

Median gross rent is $874/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48245011700?

27.6% of residents in tract 48245011700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,527.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48245011700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 92th, minority 83th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 48245011700 considered part of Old Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48245011700 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48245011700 compare to Beaumont overall?

Tract 48245011700 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Beaumont at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Beaumont eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 48245011700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Beaumont

Top eight tracts in Beaumont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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