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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Beaumont

Tract 48245000900 · Jefferson, TX · pop 1,758 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 48245000900 in the Old Town area of Beaumont, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 42% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units635
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate45.1%
Median income$25,565

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Old Town
Very High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 34 tracts In Beaumont
Elevated
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 76 tracts In Jefferson
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Beaumont and the region

Centroid at 30.1023, -94.1141 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Beaumont
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
45.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,006 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Beaumont
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Beaumont
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Beaumont
3.0

How Old Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0009003.4Beaumontparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 45%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $25,565, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 49.9% against 31.5% nationally. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.5% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 0.8 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. Average gross rent is $1,006, 10% below the Beaumont average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48245000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48245000900?

Census tract 48245000900 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48245000900?

Median gross rent is $1,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48245000900?

45.1% of residents in tract 48245000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,758.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48245000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 91th, minority 96th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 48245000900 considered part of Old Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48245000900 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48245000900 compare to Beaumont overall?

Tract 48245000900 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Beaumont at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Beaumont eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 48245000900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 41% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Beaumont

Top eight tracts in Beaumont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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