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Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Shadow Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , The Woodlands

Tract 48339691000 · Montgomery, TX · pop 4,284 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is Shadow Lake in The Woodlands for landlords? Census tract 48339691000 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,830 a month against an average household income of $193,952 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 2% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,440
Renter share4.3%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.5%
Median income$193,952

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shadow Lake
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 25 tracts In The Woodlands
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 133 tracts In Montgomery
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#6,685 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across The Woodlands and the region

Centroid at 30.1859, -95.5126 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shadow Lake scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from The Woodlands
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,830 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from The Woodlands
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The Woodlands
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from The Woodlands
4.2

How Shadow Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shadow Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 691000The Woodlands: 2.32.3The Woodlandsparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shadow Lake

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from The Woodlands eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 4.8 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48339691000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48339691000?

Census tract 48339691000 in the Shadow Lake neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48339691000?

Median gross rent is $2,830/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48339691000?

0.5% of residents in tract 48339691000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,284.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48339691000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 12th, minority 33th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 48339691000 considered part of Shadow Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48339691000 fall within Shadow Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48339691000 compare to The Woodlands overall?

Tract 48339691000 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of The Woodlands at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The Woodlands eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in The Woodlands

Top eight tracts in The Woodlands ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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