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Neighborhood · The Woodlands, TX

Shadow Lake Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,284 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Shadow Lake is a one-tract neighborhood of The Woodlands, TX, population 4,284. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. 58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the The Woodlands rate of 28.4%.

At $2,830 a month, rents sit 55% over what the rest of The Woodlands commands. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 85.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.1/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

That places it #5 of 25 neighborhoods in The Woodlands. At 4% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $193,952, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Shadow Lake vs The Woodlands How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.1% +105%
The Woodlands: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$2,830 +55%
The Woodlands: $1,822
Average HH income
$193,952 +37%
The Woodlands: $141,353
Poverty rate
0.5% -91%
The Woodlands: 5.6%
Renter share
4.3% -84%
The Woodlands: 27.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shadow Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Shadow Lake scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
4% renter households · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
0.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Shadow Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shadow Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Shadow LakeNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Shadow Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48339691000 3 4,284 58% $2,830
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 1

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 1%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 34%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 2%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Shadow Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shadow Lake?

Shadow Lake scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shadow Lake compare to The Woodlands overall?

Shadow Lake scores 0.6 points lower than The Woodlands overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,830 vs $1,822.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shadow Lake?

Average gross rent in Shadow Lake is $2,830/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shadow Lake residents are renters?

4% of Shadow Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in The Woodlands). The neighborhood has 4,284 residents.
Q5

Is Shadow Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Shadow Lake sits in the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Shadow Lake for landlords?

Shadow Lake carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to The Woodlands as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Shadow Lake?

Shadow Lake has 4,452 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.6%), Hispanic / Latino (17.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (2.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shadow Lake

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside The Woodlands

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shadow Lake.

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