Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Fate Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48397040409 · Rockwall, TX · pop 4,394 · 65% of tract blocks fall in Fate
Tract 48397040409 sits in Fate, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,390
Renter share16.6%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$125,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fate and the region
Centroid at 32.9263, -96.3566 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fate scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fate
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,486 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fate
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fate
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fate
4.7
How Fate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fate
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. The voucher gap is 32.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.2/10. Against Rockwall County at 47.3%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10.
It tracks the Rockwall County average of 3.5 closely. Average gross rent is $2,486, close to the Fate average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $125,667.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48397040409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48397040409?
Census tract 48397040409 in Fate scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48397040409?
Median gross rent is $2,486/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48397040409?
8.9% of residents in tract 48397040409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,394.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48397040409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 62th, minority 58th, housing 40th.
Q5
How does tract 48397040409 compare to Fate overall?
Tract 48397040409 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Fate at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fate
Top eight tracts in Fate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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