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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Vista del Arroyo Eviction Risk: Lower , San Angelo

Tract 48451001304 · Tom Green, TX · pop 3,505 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 48451001304 runs through Vista del Arroyo in San Angelo. With 3,505 residents, it scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It lands near the 22nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,054 monthly, set against $51,155 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 43% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,676
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$51,155

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Vista del Arroyo
Moderate
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 24 tracts In San Angelo
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 27 tracts In Tom Green
Elevated
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#3,399 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Angelo and the region

Centroid at 31.4245, -100.4735 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vista del Arroyo scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Angelo
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,054 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Angelo
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Angelo
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Angelo
6.2

How Vista del Arroyo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vista del Arroyo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 001304San Angelo: 2.22.2San Angeloparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vista del Arroyo

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Angelo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Tom Green County average of 4.7 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48451001304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48451001304?

Census tract 48451001304 in the Vista del Arroyo neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48451001304?

Median gross rent is $1,054/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48451001304?

12.0% of residents in tract 48451001304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,505.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48451001304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 95th, minority 57th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 48451001304 considered part of Vista del Arroyo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48451001304 fall within Vista del Arroyo (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48451001304 compare to San Angelo overall?

Tract 48451001304 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Angelo at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Angelo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Angelo

Top eight tracts in San Angelo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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