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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Blackshear Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Angelo

Tract 48451001800 · Tom Green, TX · pop 2,555 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 48451001800 covers part of the Blackshear area of San Angelo, TX, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,555. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 21% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units793
Renter share55.0%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate49.1%
Median income$28,822

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Blackshear
Moderate
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 24 tracts In San Angelo
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 27 tracts In Tom Green
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#330 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Angelo and the region

Centroid at 31.4700, -100.4502 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blackshear scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Angelo
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
49.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$892 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Angelo
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Angelo
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Angelo
6.2

How Blackshear compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blackshear risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0018003.9San Angeloparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blackshear

Adults with no health insurance runs 36.8% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 49%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Tom Green County average of 47.1%.

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $28,822, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Disability prevalence runs 49.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $892 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of San Angelo commands.

It sits 1.3 points above the Tom Green County average of 4.0. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48451001800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48451001800?

Census tract 48451001800 in the Blackshear neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48451001800?

Median gross rent is $892/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48451001800?

49.1% of residents in tract 48451001800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,555.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48451001800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 83th, minority 82th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 48451001800 considered part of Blackshear?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48451001800 fall within Blackshear (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48451001800 compare to San Angelo overall?

Tract 48451001800 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Angelo at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Angelo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Angelo

Top eight tracts in San Angelo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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