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Neighborhood · San Angelo, TX

Blackshear Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,555 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Blackshear maps to a single census tract in San Angelo, TX, population 2,555. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. 62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the San Angelo rate of 29.6%.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 49%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.1/10. At $892 a month, rents sit 23% under what the rest of San Angelo commands. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

That places it #1 of 18 neighborhoods in San Angelo. The closest comparables inside the same city are Reagan and Ft. Concho East.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Blackshear vs San Angelo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.5% +108%
San Angelo: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$892 -23%
San Angelo: $1,153
Average HH income
$28,822 -55%
San Angelo: $64,146
Poverty rate
49.1% +313%
San Angelo: 11.9%
Renter share
55.0% +42%
San Angelo: 38.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blackshear and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Blackshear scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
49.1% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Blackshear vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Blackshear score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3BlackshearNeighborhood3.9Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Blackshear

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48451001800 5.3 2,555 61% $892
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 83%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Blackshear

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Blackshear?

Blackshear scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Blackshear compare to San Angelo overall?

Blackshear scores 1.4 points higher than San Angelo overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $892 vs $1,153.
Q3

What is the average rent in Blackshear?

Average gross rent in Blackshear is $892/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Blackshear residents are renters?

55% of Blackshear households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in San Angelo). The neighborhood has 2,555 residents.
Q5

Is Blackshear a high social-vulnerability area?

Blackshear sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Blackshear for landlords?

Blackshear carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Angelo as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Blackshear?

Blackshear has 2,558 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (26.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (21%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blackshear

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Angelo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blackshear.

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