Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Vista del Arroyo Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Angelo
Tract 48451001304 · Tom Green, TX · pop 3,505 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 48451001304 sits in the Vista del Arroyo area of San Angelo eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It is home to 3,505 residents. Cost burden runs 34% here against 47.1% across Tom Green County.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,676
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$51,155
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Angelo and the region
Centroid at 31.4245, -100.4735 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vista del Arroyo scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Angelo
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,054 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Angelo
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Angelo
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Angelo
6.2
How Vista del Arroyo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vista del Arroyo
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.
Average gross rent is $1,054, 9% below the San Angelo average. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Tom Green County average of 4.0 closely.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $51,155. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48451001304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48451001304?
Census tract 48451001304 in the Vista del Arroyo neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48451001304?
Median gross rent is $1,054/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48451001304?
12.0% of residents in tract 48451001304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,505.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48451001304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 95th, minority 57th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 48451001304 considered part of Vista del Arroyo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48451001304 fall within Vista del Arroyo (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48451001304 compare to San Angelo overall?
Tract 48451001304 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Angelo at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Angelo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Angelo
Top eight tracts in San Angelo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Reagan
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Ft. Concho East
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Blackshear
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Rio Vista
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Rio Vista
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Central
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Ft. Concho
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Lakeview
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
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