Spring Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Pflugerville

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,338, 21% above the Pflugerville average.

The voucher gap is 20.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 1.0 points below the Travis County average of 4.0. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.2/10.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.