Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Rebel Creek Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. George
Tract 49053271200 · Washington, UT · pop 4,709 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 49053271200 in the Rebel Creek Ridge area of St. George, UT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Washington County average of 49.4%.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,719
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$56,319
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. George and the region
Centroid at 37.1112, -113.5497 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rebel Creek Ridge scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. George
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. George
2.0
How Rebel Creek Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.8%Peak (2015)
- 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rebel Creek Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rebel Creek Ridge
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.3/10.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Washington County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 6 evictions over 2 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 0.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,456, close to the St. George average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 49053271200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49053271200?
Census tract 49053271200 in the Rebel Creek Ridge neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 49053271200?
Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 49053271200?
16.2% of residents in tract 49053271200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,709.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 49053271200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 72th, minority 26th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 49053271200 considered part of Rebel Creek Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49053271200 fall within Rebel Creek Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49053271200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 49053271200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.52% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 49053271200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 49053271200 compare to St. George overall?
Tract 49053271200 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of St. George at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. George eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. George
Top eight tracts in St. George ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270301
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Royal Oaks
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Foothill Terrace
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Olive Grove
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270302
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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