Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Avalon Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. George
Tract 49053271400 · Washington, UT · pop 3,718 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
49053271400 is a census tract in the Avalon area of St. George, UT. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,718. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,664
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$45,296
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. George and the region
Centroid at 37.0976, -113.5826 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avalon scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. George
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,287 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. George
2.0
How Avalon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2015)
- 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avalon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 15.8%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 41.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avalon
69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Washington County average of 49.4%. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $45,296 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.3/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Washington County average of 3.6.
Average gross rent is $1,287, 17% below the St. George average. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Court records carry 20 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 49053271400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49053271400?
Census tract 49053271400 in the Avalon neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 49053271400?
Median gross rent is $1,287/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 49053271400?
18.5% of residents in tract 49053271400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,718.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 49053271400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 95th, minority 38th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 49053271400 considered part of Avalon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49053271400 fall within Avalon (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49053271400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 49053271400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.12% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 49053271400 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 49053271400 compare to St. George overall?
Tract 49053271400 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. George at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. George eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. George
Top eight tracts in St. George ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270301
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Royal Oaks
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Foothill Terrace
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Olive Grove
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270302
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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