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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Royal Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. George

Tract 49053270701 · Washington, UT · pop 6,642 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

49053270701 is a census tract in the Royal Oaks area of St. George, UT. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,642 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 34% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,980
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$70,646

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Royal Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 18 tracts In St. George
High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 35 tracts In Washington
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#184 of 716 tracts In Utah
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. George and the region

Centroid at 37.1296, -113.6144 · click any tract to drill in

Why Royal Oaks scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. George
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,424 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. George
2.0

How Royal Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Royal Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 2707013.2St. Georgeparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Royal Oaks

36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Washington County average of 49.4%. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.3/10.

Against the Washington County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,424, close to the St. George average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $70,646. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 49053270701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49053270701?

Census tract 49053270701 in the Royal Oaks neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 49053270701?

Median gross rent is $1,424/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 49053270701?

16.8% of residents in tract 49053270701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,642.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 49053270701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 80th, minority 58th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 49053270701 considered part of Royal Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49053270701 fall within Royal Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 49053270701 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 49053270701 compare to St. George overall?

Tract 49053270701 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of St. George at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. George eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. George

Top eight tracts in St. George ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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