Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Rebel Creek Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. George
Tract 49053271102 · Washington, UT · pop 6,335 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
49053271102 is a census tract in the Rebel Creek Ridge area of St. George, UT. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,335. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,313
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$66,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. George and the region
Centroid at 37.1120, -113.5387 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rebel Creek Ridge scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. George
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,732 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. George
2.0
How Rebel Creek Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rebel Creek Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 38.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rebel Creek Ridge
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.3/10.
Against Washington County at 49.4%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. The voucher gap is 16.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $1,732 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of St. George commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
It tracks the Washington County average of 3.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $66,681. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 49053271102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49053271102?
Census tract 49053271102 in the Rebel Creek Ridge neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 49053271102?
Median gross rent is $1,732/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 49053271102?
14.6% of residents in tract 49053271102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,335.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 49053271102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 62th, minority 23th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 49053271102 considered part of Rebel Creek Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49053271102 fall within Rebel Creek Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 49053271102 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 49053271102 compare to St. George overall?
Tract 49053271102 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. George at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. George eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. George
Top eight tracts in St. George ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270301
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Royal Oaks
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Foothill Terrace
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Olive Grove
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270302
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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