Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Burlington

77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.7/10.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,400 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Burlington commands. Against Chittenden County at 50.9%, 47% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Nationally it ranks #6,330 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the VT average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $58,390.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.