Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Burlington

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $52,767 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 50.9% across Chittenden County. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.7/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 92nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10. Statewide the VT average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,598, close to the Burlington average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.