Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Burlington
Tract 50007004200 · Chittenden County, VT · pop 4,345 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
In the Downtown neighborhood of Burlington, census tract 50007004200 scores 6.4/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #13,446 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,598 a month while the average household earns $52,767 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 89% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,107
Renter share89.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate34.0%
Median income$52,767
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burlington and the region
Centroid at 44.4827, -73.2132 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burlington
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.7
State political climate
Vermont legislature & governorship
4.6
Economic stress
34.0% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$1,598 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
6.5
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chittenden County average of 5.1 and above the Vermont statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 50007004200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 50007004200?
Census tract 50007004200 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 50007004200?
Median gross rent is $1,598/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 50007004200?
34.0% of residents in tract 50007004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,345.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 50007004200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 2th, minority 31th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 50007004200 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 50007004200 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 50007004200 compare to Burlington overall?
Tract 50007004200 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Burlington at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burlington
Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VT
South Hill Section
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
Downtown
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
Riverside
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
North Hill Section
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
South Hill Section
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
Downtown
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
Birchcliff
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VT
Lakewood
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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