South Hill Section Eviction Risk: High , Burlington
Tract 50007003900 ·
Chittenden County, VT · pop 7,705 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 50007003900 sits in the South Hill Section area of Burlington eviction risk, VT, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.3/10. Population here is 7,705. The severe-burden share is 70%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%Stable renters 15%Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units880
Renter share66.9%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate50.5%
Median income$35,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In South Hill Section
Very Low
Within parent city
70th percentile
#4 of 11 tracts In Burlington
Elevated
Within county
98th percentile
#2 of 41 tracts In Chittenden County
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#1 of 193 tracts In Vermont
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burlington and the region
Centroid at 44.4691, -73.1973 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Hill Section scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burlington
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.7
State political climate
Vermont legislature & governorship
4.6
Economic stress
50.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,490 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
6.5
How South Hill Section compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
61%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Hill Section. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Cost burden runs 78% here against 50.9% across Chittenden County. It sits 3.2 points above the Chittenden County average of 5.1. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $35,417 and the ratio lands at 50%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 51%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,490, 10% below the Burlington average. Nationally it ranks #6,330 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VT average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 50007003900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 50007003900?
Census tract 50007003900 in the South Hill Section neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 50007003900?
Median gross rent is $1,490/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 50007003900?
50.5% of residents in tract 50007003900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,705.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 50007003900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 1th, minority 24th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 50007003900 considered part of South Hill Section?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 50007003900 fall within South Hill Section (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 50007003900 compare to Burlington overall?
Tract 50007003900 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Burlington at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burlington
Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.