Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,733 of 84,120 nationally
South Hill Section Eviction Risk: Elevated , Burlington
Tract 50007003900 · Chittenden County, VT · pop 7,705 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
South Hill Section in Burlington anchors census tract 50007003900, which lands at 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #11,674 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 78% of renter households, a severe level, and 70% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,490 monthly, set against $35,417 in average yearly household income, roughly 50% of income at the averages. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units880
Renter share66.9%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate50.5%
Median income$35,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burlington and the region
Centroid at 44.4691, -73.1973 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Hill Section scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burlington
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.7
State political climate
Vermont legislature & governorship
4.6
Economic stress
50.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,490 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
6.5
How South Hill Section compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Hill Section. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Hill Section
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chittenden County average of 5.1 and above the Vermont statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 50007003900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 50007003900?
Census tract 50007003900 in the South Hill Section neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 50007003900?
Median gross rent is $1,490/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 50007003900?
50.5% of residents in tract 50007003900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,705.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 50007003900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 1th, minority 24th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 50007003900 considered part of South Hill Section?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 50007003900 fall within South Hill Section (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 50007003900 compare to Burlington overall?
Tract 50007003900 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Burlington at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burlington
Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VT
Downtown
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
Downtown
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
Riverside
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
North Hill Section
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
South Hill Section
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
Downtown
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VT
Birchcliff
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VT
Van Patten
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related