Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Country Club Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013100300 · Arlington County, VA · pop 6,845 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 51013100300 covers part of the Country Club Hills area of Arlington, VA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,845 residents. Severe burden reaches 50%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 1% Owners 93%

Tract context

Occupied units2,086

Renter share6.9%

SVI overall0.09

Poverty rate2.7%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.9154, -77.1287 · click any tract to drill in

Why Country Club Hills scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

2.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

6.0

How Country Club Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

5%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2Total filings over 1 yrs
2.53%Avg annual filing rate
2.5%Peak (2016)
2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.8%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
4.9%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
3.7%Transit barriers
4.2%No health insurance
12.2%Frequent mental distress
22.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Country Club Hills

Cost burden runs 83% here against 38.9% across Arlington County. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 51% over what the rest of Arlington commands.

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 4.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 1 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points below the Arlington County average of 5.9.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.5% of renter households were served.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013100300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013100300?

Census tract 51013100300 in the Country Club Hills neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51013100300?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013100300?

2.7% of residents in tract 51013100300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,845.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013100300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 17th, minority 47th, housing 22th.

Is tract 51013100300 considered part of Country Club Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013100300 fall within Country Club Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013100300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013100300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.53% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51013100300 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51013100300 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013100300 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org