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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

North Highland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington

Tract 51013101703 · Arlington County, VA · pop 2,229 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

51013101703 is a census tract in the North Highland area of Arlington, VA. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,229 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 43% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,398
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$124,605

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In North Highland
Low
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Elevated
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8893, -77.0749 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Highland scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,980 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How North Highland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Highland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 101703Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2016)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Highland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Highland

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally.

34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Arlington County average of 38.9%. The filing record is not thin: 14 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $1,980, 15% below the Arlington average. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.9/10.

Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013101703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101703?

Census tract 51013101703 in the North Highland neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013101703?

Median gross rent is $1,980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101703?

11.6% of residents in tract 51013101703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,229.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 12th, minority 54th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 51013101703 considered part of North Highland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101703 fall within North Highland (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013101703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013101703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.59% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013101703 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013101703 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013101703 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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