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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Claremont Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013102802 · Arlington County, VA · pop 1,284 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 51013102802 in the Claremont area of Arlington, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,284 residents. Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 8% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units510
Renter share17.6%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate0.0%
Median income$193,214

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Claremont
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#48 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Low
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#302 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8466, -77.1032 · click any tract to drill in

Why Claremont scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,033 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Claremont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Claremont risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 102802Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2016)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Claremont

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 31.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $3,033 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Arlington commands.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013102802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013102802?

Census tract 51013102802 in the Claremont neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013102802?

Median gross rent is $3,033/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013102802?

0.0% of residents in tract 51013102802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,284.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013102802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 68th, minority 31th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 51013102802 considered part of Claremont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013102802 fall within Claremont (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013102802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013102802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.00% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013102802 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013102802 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013102802 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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