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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Columbia Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington

Tract 51013103200 · Arlington County, VA · pop 5,793 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

51013103200 is a census tract in the Columbia Heights area of Arlington, VA. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,793. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 49% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units3,099
Renter share68.8%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$127,566

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Columbia Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Elevated
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#28 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Elevated
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#126 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8598, -77.0834 · click any tract to drill in

Why Columbia Heights scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,055 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Columbia Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Columbia Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 103200Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 69Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2016)
  • 69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Columbia Heights

Cost burden runs 28% here against 38.9% across Arlington County. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The filing record is not thin: 69 evictions over 1 years of observation. At $2,055 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Arlington commands.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013103200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103200?

Census tract 51013103200 in the Columbia Heights neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013103200?

Median gross rent is $2,055/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103200?

9.0% of residents in tract 51013103200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,793.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 1th, minority 64th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 51013103200 considered part of Columbia Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013103200 fall within Columbia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013103200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013103200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.61% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013103200 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013103200 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013103200 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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