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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington View Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 51013103300 · Arlington County, VA · pop 2,487 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

51013103300 is a census tract in the Arlington View area of Arlington, VA. It scores 6.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,487 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 43% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,284
Renter share75.2%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$90,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Arlington View
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 71 tracts In Arlington
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8628, -77.0731 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington View scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,927 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Arlington View compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arlington View risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 103300Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 23Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak (2016)
  • 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington View. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington View

This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,927, 17% below the Arlington average. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 23 evictions over 1 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points above the Arlington County average of 5.9.

Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 2.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013103300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103300?

Census tract 51013103300 in the Arlington View neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013103300?

Median gross rent is $1,927/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103300?

8.1% of residents in tract 51013103300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,487.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 12th, minority 72th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 51013103300 considered part of Arlington View?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013103300 fall within Arlington View (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013103300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 23 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013103300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.51% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013103300 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013103300 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013103300 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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