Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Virginia Highlands Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington
Tract 51013103505 ·
Arlington County, VA · pop 3,335 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51013103505 covers part of the Virginia Highlands area of Arlington, VA, and scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%Stable renters 49%Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,083
Renter share89.6%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$100,355
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Virginia Highlands
Very High
Within parent city
97th percentile
#3 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Very High
Within county
93th percentile
#6 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Very High
Within state
99th percentile
#15 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8614, -77.0598 · click any tract to drill in
Why Virginia Highlands scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$2,374 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How Virginia Highlands compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
46%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Virginia Highlands. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.6%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
11.4%Food insecurity
8.9%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
8.2%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Virginia Highlands
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Arlington County average of 5.9.
The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013103505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103505?
Census tract 51013103505 in the Virginia Highlands neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013103505?
Median gross rent is $2,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103505?
20.4% of residents in tract 51013103505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,335.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 20th, minority 73th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 51013103505 considered part of Virginia Highlands?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013103505 fall within Virginia Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51013103505 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51013103505 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013103505 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.