Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Virginia Highlands Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington
Tract 51013103501 · Arlington County, VA · pop 3,368 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51013103501 sits in the Virginia Highlands area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. Population here is 3,368. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units2,180
Renter share74.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$114,485
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8627, -77.0657 · click any tract to drill in
Why Virginia Highlands scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,016 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How Virginia Highlands compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 23Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2016)
- 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Virginia Highlands. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 18.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Virginia Highlands
74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.8% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 23 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
Against the Arlington County average of 5.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.
At $2,016 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Arlington commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013103501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103501?
Census tract 51013103501 in the Virginia Highlands neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013103501?
Median gross rent is $2,016/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103501?
12.7% of residents in tract 51013103501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,368.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 3th, minority 61th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 51013103501 considered part of Virginia Highlands?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013103501 fall within Virginia Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013103501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 23 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013103501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.39% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51013103501 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51013103501 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013103501 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Douglas Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Virginia Highlands
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lyon Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Buckingham
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Arlington Mill
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Addison Heights
7
/ 10 · Elevated
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