Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Grove Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Chester
Tract 51041100505 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 6,070 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 51041100505 covers the Grove Place area of Chester in Virginia. Home to 6,070 residents, it scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,397 a month against an average household income of $95,264 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,055
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$95,264
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chester and the region
Centroid at 37.3478, -77.4375 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grove Place scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chester
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,397 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
5.6
How Grove Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,547Total filings over 7 yrs
- 32.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 57.2%Peak (2013)
- 109Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grove Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grove Place
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,547 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 32.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 57.2% of renter households in 2013.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100505?
Census tract 51041100505 in the Grove Place neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100505?
Median gross rent is $1,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100505?
5.3% of residents in tract 51041100505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,070.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 60th, minority 51th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100505 considered part of Grove Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100505 fall within Grove Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100505?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,547 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.11% of renter households, peaking at 57.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100505 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100505 compare to Chester overall?
Tract 51041100505 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Chester at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chester
Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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