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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Grove Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Chester

Tract 51041100505 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 6,070 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 51041100505 covers part of the Grove Place area of Chester, VA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,070 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 16% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,055
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$95,264

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Grove Place
Very High
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Chester
Low
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Moderate
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#1,203 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chester and the region

Centroid at 37.3478, -77.4375 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grove Place scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chester
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,397 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
5.6

How Grove Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grove Place risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 1005053.8Chesterparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,547Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 32.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 57.2%Peak (2013)
  • 109Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51041100505
Filings climbed 43% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grove Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grove Place

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,547 filings here across 7 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,397, 13% below the Chester average. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 57.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 32.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $95,264, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100505?

Census tract 51041100505 in the Grove Place neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100505?

Median gross rent is $1,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100505?

5.3% of residents in tract 51041100505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,070.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 60th, minority 51th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100505 considered part of Grove Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100505 fall within Grove Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100505?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,547 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.11% of renter households, peaking at 57.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100505 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100505 compare to Chester overall?

Tract 51041100505 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Chester at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chester

Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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