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Neighborhood · Chester, VA

Grove Place Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 13,059 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.6–3.8

Grove Place takes in 2 census tracts of Chester, VA, population 13,059. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

36% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Chester rate of 29.5%. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,880 across 2 observed tracts.

8% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 57.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 16.9% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Chester, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $1,516, close to the Chester average.

With little internal variation, 3.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Grove Place vs Chester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.9% +22%
Chester: 29.5%
Average gross rent
$1,516 -5%
Chester: $1,603
Average HH income
$93,506 +6%
Chester: $88,455
Poverty rate
3.9% -50%
Chester: 7.8%
Renter share
24.9% -13%
Chester: 28.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grove Place and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.6–3.8

Why Grove Place scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
3.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–4.5 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Grove Place vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grove Place score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7Grove PlaceNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Grove Place

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51041100505 3.8 6,070 45% $1,397
51041100409 3.6 6,989 28% $1,619
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 22%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grove Place

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,880Total filings (sum)
  • 21.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 57.2%Peak year (2014)
  • 16.81%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grove Place

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Grove Place

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grove Place?

Grove Place scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grove Place compare to Chester overall?

Grove Place scores 0.1 points lower than Chester overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,516 vs $1,603.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grove Place?

Average gross rent in Grove Place is $1,516/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grove Place residents are renters?

25% of Grove Place households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Chester). The neighborhood has 13,059 residents.
Q5

Is Grove Place a high social-vulnerability area?

Grove Place sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Grove Place have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Grove Place is census tract 51041100505 (score 3.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 3.8, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Grove Place for landlords?

Grove Place carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chester as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Grove Place?

Grove Place has 13,338 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grove Place

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grove Place.

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