Tinsberry Trace Eviction Risk: Lower , Chester
Tract 51041100506 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 6,434 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 51041100506, home to 6,434 residents in the Tinsberry Trace neighborhood of Chester, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,220 monthly, set against $94,907 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chester and the region
Centroid at 37.3228, -77.4149 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tinsberry Trace scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Tinsberry Trace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,060Total filings over 7 yrs
- 22.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 53.5%Peak (2016)
- 334Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tinsberry Trace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 14.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Tinsberry Trace
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 51041100506
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100506?
What is the average rent in tract 51041100506?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100506?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100506?
Is tract 51041100506 considered part of Tinsberry Trace?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100506?
What share of households in tract 51041100506 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51041100506 compare to Chester overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Chester
Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.