Tinsberry Trace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chester
Tract 51041100506 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 6,434 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 51041100506 covers part of the Tinsberry Trace area of Chester, VA, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chester and the region
Centroid at 37.3228, -77.4149 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tinsberry Trace scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Tinsberry Trace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,060Total filings over 7 yrs
- 22.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 53.5%Peak (2016)
- 334Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tinsberry Trace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 14.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Tinsberry Trace
Cost burden runs 51% here against 42.3% across Chesterfield County. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,220, 24% below the Chester average.
Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10.
Court records carry 1,060 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 53.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 22.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $94,907, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Chesterfield County average of 4.2 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51041100506
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100506?
What is the average rent in tract 51041100506?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100506?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100506?
Is tract 51041100506 considered part of Tinsberry Trace?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100506?
What share of households in tract 51041100506 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51041100506 compare to Chester overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Chester
Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.