2 census tracts · pop 11,809 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10
· range 4.2–4.4
Tinsberry Trace takes in 2 census tracts of Chester, VA, population 11,809. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, Moderate tier. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Chester rate of 29.5%.
The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,313, 18% below the Chester average of $1,603. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.6/10.
Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records carry 2,807 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 53.5% of renter households. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Chester, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 8.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
At 21% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $91,963, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion.
The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Tinsberry Trace vs ChesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Tinsberry Trace
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,807Total filings (sum)
31.64%Avg annual filing rate
53.5%Peak year (2016)
44.39%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tinsberry Trace
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.4%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
13.1%SNAP enrollment
10.8%No health insurance
30.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Tinsberry Trace
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Tinsberry Trace?
Tinsberry Trace scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Tinsberry Trace compare to Chester overall?
Tinsberry Trace scores 0.5 points higher than Chester overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,313 vs $1,603.
Q3
What is the average rent in Tinsberry Trace?
Average gross rent in Tinsberry Trace is $1,313/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Tinsberry Trace residents are renters?
21% of Tinsberry Trace households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Chester). The neighborhood has 11,809 residents.
Q5
Is Tinsberry Trace a high social-vulnerability area?
Tinsberry Trace sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Tinsberry Trace have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Tinsberry Trace is census tract 51041100508 (score 4.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.4, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Tinsberry Trace for landlords?
Tinsberry Trace carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chester as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Tinsberry Trace?
Tinsberry Trace has 11,981 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.6%), Hispanic / Latino (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
