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Neighborhood · Chester, VA

Tinsberry Trace Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,809 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.2-5.4

Tinsberry Trace is a white-black neighborhood in Chester with 2 census tracts and a population of 11,809 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,313/month sits 18% lower than the Chester citywide average ($1,603).

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Tinsberry Trace vs Chester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.5% +37%
Chester: 29.5%
Average gross rent
$1,313 -18%
Chester: $1,603
Average HH income
$91,963 +4%
Chester: $88,455
Poverty rate
8.0% +3%
Chester: 7.8%
Renter share
21.0% -27%
Chester: 28.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tinsberry Trace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2-5.4

Why Tinsberry Trace scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3-5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2-4.0 across tracts
3.6
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 3.2-6.8 across tracts
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5-5.0 across tracts
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 4.0-6.0 across tracts
5.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0-5.6 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
8.0% below poverty line · Range 1.6-2.3 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1-3.3 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

Tinsberry Trace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Tinsberry Trace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tinsberry Trace: 5.35.3Tinsberry TraceNeighborhoodParent city: 5.25.2Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Tinsberry Trace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51041100506 5.4 6,434 51% $1,220
51041100508 5.2 5,375 28% $1,424
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 47%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tinsberry Trace

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 2,807Total filings (sum)
  • 31.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 53.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 44.39%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tinsberry Trace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tinsberry Trace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tinsberry Trace?

Tinsberry Trace scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Tinsberry Trace compare to Chester overall?

Tinsberry Trace scores 0.1 points higher than Chester overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,313 vs $1,603.

Q3

What is the average rent in Tinsberry Trace?

Average gross rent in Tinsberry Trace is $1,313/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Tinsberry Trace residents are renters?

21% of Tinsberry Trace households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Chester). The neighborhood has 11,809 residents.

Q5

Is Tinsberry Trace a high social-vulnerability area?

Tinsberry Trace sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Tinsberry Trace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tinsberry Trace is census tract 51041100506 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.4, a spread of 0.2 points.

Q7

How safe is Tinsberry Trace for landlords?

Tinsberry Trace carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chester as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Tinsberry Trace?

Tinsberry Trace has 11,981 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.6%), Hispanic / Latino (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tinsberry Trace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tinsberry Trace.

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