Beverly Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield
Tract 51059421002 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,759 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Here is how census tract 51059421002, in the Beverly Forest neighborhood of Springfield eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 5,759. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,291 monthly, set against $110,385 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 38.7573, -77.1802 · click any tract to drill in
Why Beverly Forest scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Beverly Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 416Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.4%Peak (2012)
- 78Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 14.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Beverly Forest
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 51059421002
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421002?
What is the average rent in tract 51059421002?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421002?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421002?
Is tract 51059421002 considered part of Beverly Forest?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421002?
What share of households in tract 51059421002 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059421002 compare to Springfield overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.