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Neighborhood · Springfield, VA

Beverly Forest Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,759 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.9–6.9

Beverly Forest maps to a single census tract in Springfield, VA, population 5,759. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.9/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Springfield baseline of 41.4%, 59% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.

Court records for this tract carry 416 eviction filings. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. Average gross rent is $2,291, 14% below the Springfield average of $2,656.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 12.4% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 8.4% in 2016 against a 12.4% peak.

That places it #1 of 5 neighborhoods in Springfield. For a like-for-like read, Fair Vernon and Monticello Forest score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $110,385. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Beverly Forest vs Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.7% +42%
Springfield: 41.4%
Average gross rent
$2,291 -14%
Springfield: $2,656
Average HH income
$110,385 -11%
Springfield: $123,691
Poverty rate
12.6% +62%
Springfield: 7.8%
Renter share
52.5% +54%
Springfield: 34.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Beverly Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.9–6.9

Why Beverly Forest scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
12.6% below poverty line · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Beverly Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Beverly Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Beverly Forest: 6.96.9Beverly ForestNeighborhoodParent city: 5.95.9Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Beverly Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059421002 6.9 5,759 59% $2,291
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Beverly Forest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 416Total filings (sum)
  • 10.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.4%Peak year (2012)
  • 8.36%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Beverly Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Beverly Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Beverly Forest?

Beverly Forest scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Beverly Forest compare to Springfield overall?

Beverly Forest scores 1.0 points higher than Springfield overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $2,291 vs $2,656.
Q3

What is the average rent in Beverly Forest?

Average gross rent in Beverly Forest is $2,291/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Beverly Forest residents are renters?

53% of Beverly Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 5,759 residents.
Q5

Is Beverly Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Beverly Forest sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Beverly Forest for landlords?

Beverly Forest carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Beverly Forest?

Beverly Forest has 5,829 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (33.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (26%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Beverly Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Beverly Forest.

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