Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Anne Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston
Tract 51059482001 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,652 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 51059482001 covers part of the Lake Anne Village area of Reston, VA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,652. Cost burden runs about one in five here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,790
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$231,196
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9792, -77.3265 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Anne Village scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,973 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8
How Lake Anne Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2013)
- 3Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Anne Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.7%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.4%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Anne Village
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,973, 33% above the Reston average. The voucher gap is 28.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 4.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.8/10. Housing insecurity runs 4.6% against 14.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions over 3 years of observation. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The worst year on record was 2013, when 2.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482001?
Census tract 51059482001 in the Lake Anne Village neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482001?
Median gross rent is $2,973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482001?
3.6% of residents in tract 51059482001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,652.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 23th, minority 46th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482001 considered part of Lake Anne Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482001 fall within Lake Anne Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059482001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.85% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059482001 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059482001 compare to Reston overall?
Tract 51059482001 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Deepwood
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Halley Rise
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Colvin's Glen
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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