Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Anne Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Reston

Tract 51059482206 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 995 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51059482206 covers part of the Lake Anne Village area of Reston, VA, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 995 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 35% Owners 47%

Tract context

Occupied units541

Renter share53.0%

SVI overall0.52

Poverty rate10.1%

Median income$71,678

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9667, -77.3479 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Anne Village scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Reston

7.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

10.1% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Reston

4.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Reston

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Reston

3.8

How Lake Anne Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Anne Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.9%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
7.7%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
4.6%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
10.6%Frequent mental distress
28.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Anne Village

It sits 1.3 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.5/10.

Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 7.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.2/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059482206

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482206?

Census tract 51059482206 in the Lake Anne Village neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482206?

10.1% of residents in tract 51059482206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 995.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 92th, minority 56th, housing 33th.

Is tract 51059482206 considered part of Lake Anne Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482206 fall within Lake Anne Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51059482206 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51059482206 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059482206 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.