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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Deepwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Reston

Tract 51059482302 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,528 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

51059482302 is a census tract in the Deepwood area of Reston, VA. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,528 residents. Cost burden runs 63% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 21% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,752
Renter share55.7%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$77,986

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Deepwood
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 19 tracts In Reston
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#188 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9367, -77.3547 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deepwood scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,887 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8

How Deepwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deepwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 482302Reston: 4.34.3Restonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 352Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 8.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.3%Peak (2016)
  • 101Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594823022011: 94 filings (9.22/100 renter HHs)2012: 77 filings (7.55/100 renter HHs)2013: 80 filings (7.84/100 renter HHs)2016: 101 filings (9.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Deepwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Deepwood

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10. At $1,887 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Reston commands. The filing record is not thin: 352 evictions over 4 years of observation.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when 9.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $77,986.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059482302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482302?

Census tract 51059482302 in the Deepwood neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059482302?

Median gross rent is $1,887/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482302?

13.9% of residents in tract 51059482302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,528.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 36th, minority 80th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 51059482302 considered part of Deepwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482302 fall within Deepwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.47% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059482302 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059482302 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059482302 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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