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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Anne Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Reston

Tract 51059482100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,150 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 51059482100 in the Lake Anne Village area of Reston, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,150 residents. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 14% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,726
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$101,630

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Lake Anne Village
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 19 tracts In Reston
High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#508 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9680, -77.3374 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Anne Village scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,645 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8

How Lake Anne Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Anne Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 482100Reston: 4.34.3Restonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 127Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 5.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2011)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594821002011: 52 filings (9.65/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)2013: 33 filings (6.12/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (4.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 60% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Anne Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Anne Village

Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

At $1,645 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Reston commands. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 127 evictions over 4 years of observation. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2011, when 9.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $101,630.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059482100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482100?

Census tract 51059482100 in the Lake Anne Village neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059482100?

Median gross rent is $1,645/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482100?

8.0% of residents in tract 51059482100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,150.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 36th, minority 64th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 51059482100 considered part of Lake Anne Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482100 fall within Lake Anne Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.99% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059482100 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059482100 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059482100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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