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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Sunset Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston

Tract 51059482201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,702 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 51059482201 runs through the Sunset Hills neighborhood of Reston. With 2,702 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #34,460 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,857 a month against an average household income of $106,538 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 39% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units970
Renter share69.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$106,538

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Sunset Hills
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 19 tracts In Reston
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
High
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#1,336 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9592, -77.3411 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sunset Hills scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,857 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8

How Sunset Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sunset Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 482201Reston: 3.43.4Restonparent cityCounty: 1.51.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 282Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.7%Peak (2013)
  • 53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594822012011: 68 filings (9.90/100 renter HHs)2012: 67 filings (9.75/100 renter HHs)2013: 94 filings (13.68/100 renter HHs)2016: 53 filings (6.97/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sunset Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sunset Hills

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Reston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059482201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482201?

Census tract 51059482201 in the Sunset Hills neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059482201?

Median gross rent is $1,857/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482201?

12.0% of residents in tract 51059482201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,702.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 49th, minority 68th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 51059482201 considered part of Sunset Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482201 fall within Sunset Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 282 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.08% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059482201 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059482201 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059482201 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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