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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Sunset Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston

Tract 51059482203 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,411 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 51059482203 sits in the Sunset Hills area of Reston eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 4,411. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 35% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,955
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$154,656

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Sunset Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 19 tracts In Reston
Elevated
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#126 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Moderate
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,111 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9596, -77.3624 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sunset Hills scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,718 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8

How Sunset Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sunset Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 482203Reston: 4.34.3Restonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 85Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 1.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak (2013)
  • 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594822032011: 12 filings (1.08/100 renter HHs)2012: 19 filings (1.72/100 renter HHs)2013: 28 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)2016: 26 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 117% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sunset Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sunset Hills

Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 5.3% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,718, 22% above the Reston average.

The voucher gap is 17.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10.

Court records carry 85 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059482203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482203?

Census tract 51059482203 in the Sunset Hills neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059482203?

Median gross rent is $2,718/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482203?

5.0% of residents in tract 51059482203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,411.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 21th, minority 49th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 51059482203 considered part of Sunset Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482203 fall within Sunset Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 85 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.81% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059482203 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059482203 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059482203 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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