Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Dixie Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fair Oaks
Tract 51059491704 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,777 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51059491704 sits in the Dixie Hill area of Fair Oaks eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. It is home to 5,777 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,427
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$133,694
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fair Oaks and the region
Centroid at 38.8518, -77.3662 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dixie Hill scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fair Oaks
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,282 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fair Oaks
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fair Oaks
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fair Oaks
4.7
How Dixie Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 189Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2016)
- 70Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dixie Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 18.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dixie Hill
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 31% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
SNAP participation runs 4.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.0 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 189 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 5.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059491704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491704?
Census tract 51059491704 in the Dixie Hill neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059491704?
Median gross rent is $2,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491704?
1.8% of residents in tract 51059491704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,777.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 6th, minority 70th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 51059491704 considered part of Dixie Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059491704 fall within Dixie Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 189 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059491704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.62% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059491704 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059491704 compare to Fair Oaks overall?
Tract 51059491704 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Fair Oaks at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fair Oaks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fair Oaks
Top eight tracts in Fair Oaks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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