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Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

Dixie Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Fair Oaks

Tract 51059491704 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,777 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

In Dixie Hill in Fair Oaks, census tract 51059491704 scores 5.4/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,282 a month against an average household income of $133,694 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 37% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,427
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$133,694

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Dixie Hill
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Fair Oaks
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#249 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#2,104 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fair Oaks and the region

Centroid at 38.8518, -77.3662 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dixie Hill scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fair Oaks
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,282 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fair Oaks
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fair Oaks
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fair Oaks
4.7

How Dixie Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dixie Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.01.0This tracttract 491704Fair Oaks: 3.63.6Fair Oaksparent cityCounty: 1.51.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 189Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2016)
  • 70Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594917042011: 35 filings (2.61/100 renter HHs)2012: 44 filings (3.29/100 renter HHs)2013: 40 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2016: 70 filings (5.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dixie Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dixie Hill

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fair Oaks eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 189 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.6% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059491704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491704?

Census tract 51059491704 in the Dixie Hill neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059491704?

Median gross rent is $2,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491704?

1.8% of residents in tract 51059491704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,777.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 6th, minority 70th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 51059491704 considered part of Dixie Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059491704 fall within Dixie Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491704?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 189 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059491704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.62% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059491704 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059491704 compare to Fair Oaks overall?

Tract 51059491704 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Fair Oaks at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fair Oaks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fair Oaks

Top eight tracts in Fair Oaks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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