Greens of Fair Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Greenbriar
Tract 51059491801 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,615 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Eviction risk in the Greens of Fair Lakes neighborhood of Greenbriar centers on tract 51059491801, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,615 residents. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,202 a month while the average household earns $105,655 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Greenbriar and the region
Centroid at 38.8575, -77.3947 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greens of Fair Lakes scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Greens of Fair Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 58Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2011)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greens of Fair Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Greens of Fair Lakes
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Greenbriar, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 58 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.7% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059491801
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491801?
What is the average rent in tract 51059491801?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491801?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491801?
Is tract 51059491801 considered part of Greens of Fair Lakes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491801?
What share of households in tract 51059491801 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491801 compare to Greenbriar overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Greenbriar
Top eight tracts in Greenbriar ranked by composite eviction-risk score.