Greens of Fair Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Greenbriar
Tract 51059491502 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,768 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51059491502 (the Greens of Fair Lakes neighborhood of Greenbriar, Virginia) comes in at 4.3/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #69,922 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $250,001 a year. About 2% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Greenbriar and the region
Centroid at 38.8641, -77.4116 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greens of Fair Lakes scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Greens of Fair Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2016)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greens of Fair Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 3.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 10.3%Frequent mental distress
- 18.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Greens of Fair Lakes
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 5.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Greenbriar, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059491502
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491502?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491502?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491502?
Is tract 51059491502 considered part of Greens of Fair Lakes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491502?
What share of households in tract 51059491502 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491502 compare to Greenbriar overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Greenbriar
Top eight tracts in Greenbriar ranked by composite eviction-risk score.