4 census tracts · pop 19,124 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10
· range 3.4–5.3
Greens of Fair Lakes is a 4-tract neighborhood of Greenbriar, VA, population 19,124. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, Lower tier. 22% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.
Average gross rent is $1,431, 38% below the Greenbriar average of $2,324. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.4/10.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.4 to 5.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Court records carry 297 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10.
SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.3% of adults, 9.5 points below the national rate. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 10.6% of renter households.
Judgments average 1.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $173,128, annual rent is only 10%, a wide affordability cushion.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Greens of Fair Lakes vs GreenbriarHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport34%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Greens of Fair Lakes
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
297Total filings (sum)
5.80%Avg annual filing rate
10.6%Peak year (2016)
6.53%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Greens of Fair Lakes
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.8%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility shutoff threat
7.8%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
5.7%No health insurance
20.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Greens of Fair Lakes
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Greens of Fair Lakes?
Greens of Fair Lakes scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Greens of Fair Lakes compare to Greenbriar overall?
Greens of Fair Lakes scores 0.2 points lower than Greenbriar overall (4/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,431 vs $2,324.
Q3
What is the average rent in Greens of Fair Lakes?
Average gross rent in Greens of Fair Lakes is $1,431/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Greens of Fair Lakes residents are renters?
22% of Greens of Fair Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Greenbriar). The neighborhood has 19,124 residents.
Q5
Is Greens of Fair Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?
Greens of Fair Lakes sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Greens of Fair Lakes have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Greens of Fair Lakes is census tract 51059491801 (score 5.3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5.3, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Greens of Fair Lakes for landlords?
Greens of Fair Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Greenbriar as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Greens of Fair Lakes?
Greens of Fair Lakes has 18,906 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (32.4%), Hispanic / Latino (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
