Neighborhood · Greenbriar, VA

Greens of Fair Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 19,124 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.3/10 · range 1.1–2.3

Greens of Fair Lakes is a white-asian neighborhood in Greenbriar with 4 census tracts and a population of 19,124 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 22% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 7% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,431/month sits 38% lower than the Greenbriar citywide average ($2,324).

Risk score

1.3

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Greens of Fair Lakes vs Greenbriar How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

22.1% -7%

Greenbriar: 23.7%

Average gross rent

$1,431 -38%

Greenbriar: $2,324

Average HH income

$173,128 +29%

Greenbriar: $134,284

Poverty rate

5.5% +33%

Greenbriar: 4.1%

Renter share

22.3% -33%

Greenbriar: 33.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greens of Fair Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 1.1–2.3

Why Greens of Fair Lakes scores 1.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.2 across tracts

7.1

Rent control risk

22% of income on rent · Range 3.6–5.8 across tracts

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–3.1 across tracts

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

22% renter households · Range 4.6–7.9 across tracts

6.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–4.7 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

5.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts

1.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–5.2 across tracts

4.7

Risk score comparison

Greens of Fair Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Greens of Fair Lakes?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.2 points from 1.1 to 2.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

2.3 1.2 1.1 1.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Greens of Fair Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51059491801	2.3	2,615	53%	$2,202
51059491803	1.2	6,673	32%	$2,155
51059491502	1.1	6,768	0%	—
51059491802	1.1	3,068	24%	$2,357

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 30%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 34%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Greens of Fair Lakes

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

297Total filings (sum)
5.80%Avg annual filing rate
10.6%Peak year (2016)
6.53%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Greens of Fair Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.8%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility shutoff threat
7.8%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
5.7%No health insurance
20.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Greens of Fair Lakes

What is the eviction-risk score for Greens of Fair Lakes?

Greens of Fair Lakes scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Greens of Fair Lakes compare to Greenbriar overall?

Greens of Fair Lakes scores 1.9 points lower than Greenbriar overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,431 vs $2,324.

What is the average rent in Greens of Fair Lakes?

Average gross rent in Greens of Fair Lakes is $1,431/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Greens of Fair Lakes residents are renters?

22% of Greens of Fair Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Greenbriar). The neighborhood has 19,124 residents.

Is Greens of Fair Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Greens of Fair Lakes sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Greens of Fair Lakes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Greens of Fair Lakes is census tract 51059491801 (score 2.3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.1 to 2.3, a spread of 1.2 points.

How safe is Greens of Fair Lakes for landlords?

Greens of Fair Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Greenbriar as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Greens of Fair Lakes?

Greens of Fair Lakes has 18,906 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (32.4%), Hispanic / Latino (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Greens of Fair Lakes

1.6 Penderlan 3 tracts · pop 11,322 1.1 Crystal Springs 2 tracts · pop 9,845 1.5 Brookfield 3 tracts · pop 17,598 1.2 Penderwood 3 tracts · pop 12,953 1.3 Willow Springs 3 tracts · pop 15,131 1.6 Dixie Hill 2 tracts · pop 11,943

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