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Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 51085320100 Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51085320100 · Hanover County, VA · pop 5,516

51085320100 is a census tract in Hanover County, VA. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,516 residents. Against Hanover County at 36.2%, 18% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 7% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,292
Renter share8.9%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$96,957

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 25 tracts In Hanover County
Moderate
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#1,203 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
National
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#52,479 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hanover County and the region

Centroid at 37.8857, -77.5727 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 51085320100 scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 51085320100 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 51085320100 risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 3201003.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 51085320100

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Hanover County average of 3.9 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51085320100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085320100?

Census tract 51085320100 in Hanover County scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51085320100?

1.6% of residents in tract 51085320100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,516.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51085320100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 17th, minority 26th, housing 10th.
Q4

What share of households in tract 51085320100 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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