Sharon Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Mechanicsville

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.7/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10. The voucher gap is 24.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.8/10. At $2,122 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Mechanicsville commands. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Hanover County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $115,270.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.