Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Sharon Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Mechanicsville

Tract 51085320902 · Hanover County, VA · pop 2,767 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 51085320902 covers the Sharon Park area of Mechanicsville in Virginia. Home to 2,767 residents, it scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 48th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 15% of renter households, a modest level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,122 monthly, set against $115,270 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 14% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,111
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$115,270

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Sharon Park
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Mechanicsville
Moderate
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 25 tracts In Hanover County
Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#1,590 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mechanicsville and the region

Centroid at 37.6352, -77.3842 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sharon Park scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mechanicsville
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,122 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mechanicsville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mechanicsville
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mechanicsville
5.4

How Sharon Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sharon Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 320902Mechanicsville: 3.53.5Mechanicsvilleparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sharon Park

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mechanicsville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hanover County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51085320902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085320902?

Census tract 51085320902 in the Sharon Park neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51085320902?

Median gross rent is $2,122/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51085320902?

7.0% of residents in tract 51085320902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,767.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51085320902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 7th, minority 19th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 51085320902 considered part of Sharon Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51085320902 fall within Sharon Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51085320902 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51085320902 compare to Mechanicsville overall?

Tract 51085320902 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Mechanicsville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mechanicsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mechanicsville

Top eight tracts in Mechanicsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related