Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Sledd Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Mechanicsville

Tract 51085321201 · Hanover County, VA · pop 4,585 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 3.8/10, tract 51085321201 in the Sledd Run area of Mechanicsville, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,585. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 16% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units1,940

Renter share24.1%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate2.8%

Median income$103,269

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mechanicsville and the region

Centroid at 37.5867, -77.3295 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sledd Run scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mechanicsville

8.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.7

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

2.8% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,601 rent vs county FMR

4.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mechanicsville

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mechanicsville

5.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mechanicsville

5.4

How Sledd Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

18%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sledd Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.6%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
30.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sledd Run

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 33% of renters.

It tracks the Hanover County average of 3.9 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51085321201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085321201?

Census tract 51085321201 in the Sledd Run neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51085321201?

Median gross rent is $1,601/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51085321201?

2.8% of residents in tract 51085321201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,585.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51085321201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 12th, minority 25th, housing 16th.

Is tract 51085321201 considered part of Sledd Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51085321201 fall within Sledd Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51085321201 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51085321201 compare to Mechanicsville overall?

Tract 51085321201 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Mechanicsville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mechanicsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mechanicsville

Top eight tracts in Mechanicsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.