Sharon Park Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.8/10. The voucher gap is 24.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $2,122 a month, rents sit 23% over what the rest of Mechanicsville commands.

Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Running hot is supply constraint at 7.4/10. Food insecurity affects 8.8% of adults, 9.0 points below the national rate. SNAP participation is 7.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

That places it #3 of 7 neighborhoods in Mechanicsville. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Cherrydale and Gaines Mill score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.