Gaines Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Mechanicsville

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.6/10. The voucher gap is 18.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $2,027 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Mechanicsville commands. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Hanover County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $116,528.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.