1 census tracts · pop 6,734 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10
· range 3.6–3.6
Gaines Mill is a one-tract neighborhood of Mechanicsville, VA and houses 6,734 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 9% against 29.6% citywide, putting Gaines Mill 20.6% under its own city.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 18.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,027, 18% above the Mechanicsville average of $1,724.
SNAP participation is 6.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 9.0% of adults, 8.8 points below the national rate. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Mechanicsville, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third.
Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Avondale and Sharon Park score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $116,528.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gaines Mill vs MechanicsvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority34%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gaines Mill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.1%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
6.4%No health insurance
28.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Gaines Mill
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Gaines Mill?
Gaines Mill scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Gaines Mill compare to Mechanicsville overall?
Gaines Mill scores 0.4 points lower than Mechanicsville overall (4/10). Renters spend 9% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,027 vs $1,724.
Q3
What is the average rent in Gaines Mill?
Average gross rent in Gaines Mill is $2,027/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 9% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Gaines Mill residents are renters?
6% of Gaines Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Mechanicsville). The neighborhood has 6,734 residents.
Q5
Is Gaines Mill a high social-vulnerability area?
Gaines Mill sits in the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Gaines Mill for landlords?
Gaines Mill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mechanicsville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Gaines Mill?
Gaines Mill has 6,678 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
